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In fact, we should be careful not to read too much into the 2006 vote: Americans do not like being on the losing side of any war. It was this failure, and the quagmire into which America had once again so confidently stepped into, that led voters to reject Bush. But the Middle East chaos wrought by the Bush years also represents a central risk to the global economy. Since the Iraq war began in 2003, oil output from the Middle East, which has the world’s lowest-cost producers, has not grown as expected to meet rising world demand. Although most forecasts suggest that oil prices will remain at or slightly below their current level, this is largely due to a perceived moderation of growth in demand, which is led by a slowing down of the US economy.

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Source : IIPM Editorial, 2007

An IIPM and Malay Chaudhuri – Arindam Chaudhuri Initiative

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